Farid Almasi vs Ruan Hendricks
Prelims · Middleweight · ONE Championship
Farid Almasi
“Desert Fox”
13-2-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 186 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 18%
- Sub rate
- 21%
- Decision rate
- 61%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 4.1
- Takedown defense
- 80%
- Control time
- 2:13 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Sam Okafor - KO (Round 1)UFC Fight Night · 2026-09-26
- Lvs Nikita Volkov - Unanimous DecisionUFC 314 · 2026-08-07
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - Submission (Guillotine)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2025-07-16
- Lvs Bruno Alcantara - DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2025-06-25
Ruan Hendricks
“Cape Storm”
15-6-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 188 cm
- Reach
- 192 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 63%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 31%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.1
- Takedown avg
- 1.2
- Takedown defense
- 59%
- Control time
- 0:44 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 88/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Omar Haddad - KO (Round 1)PFL Europe 2 · 2026-03-24
- Wvs Dre Coleman - Unanimous DecisionONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-02-05
- Wvs Yuta Nakamura - TKO (Round 2)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-05-06
- Wvs Danny Ochoa - Submission (RNC)UFC Fight Night · 2025-04-15
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Farid Almasi
Confidence
64%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Farid Almasi is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Ruan Hendricks's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 64%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Farid Almasi
-258
- Market implied win %
- 72.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 64%
- Return on 100 staked
- +39
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Ruan Hendricks
+234
- Market implied win %
- 29.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 36%
- Return on 100 staked
- +234
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.1 pts
Edge on Farid Almasi
- Raina's model
- 64%
- Market implied
- 72.1%
- at -258
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Farid Almasi higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Almasi by KO/TKO+31424.2%
- Almasi by decision+19134.4%
- Hendricks by submission+27526.7%
- Fight goes the distance-6539.4%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
ONE Championship · ONE 182: Tanaka vs Mendes
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC
Farid Almasi vs Ruan Hendricks
Prelims · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Farid Almasi
64%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-258
72.1% implied · -8.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.