Accountability
Track Record
Every pick Raina has ever made, measured. No cherry-picking, no retroactive edits, no guarantees about what happens next.
Overall accuracy
71.4%
1,284 predictions
Last 10
80%
Last 25
72%
Last 50
74%
Last 100
70%
Rolling accuracy by month
Accuracy by promotion
Accuracy by confidence level
Accuracy by weight class
Accuracy methodology
We publish the full formula so you can decide for yourself whether Raina's record is meaningful. No hidden rules, no retroactive edits.
What counts as a hit
A prediction is graded as correct only when Raina's predicted winner matches the official result. Method and round are tracked separately for research, but they do not count toward the 71.4% win-rate.
How the number is calculated
Overall accuracy = correct winner predictions ÷ total graded predictions × 100. The current record is based on 1,284 graded fights across UFC, PFL, ONE Championship and other major promotions.
Confidence tiers matter
Raina publishes a confidence score for every pick. Historically, higher-confidence picks have hit more often than coin-flip calls - but confidence is not a guarantee, and every fight is independent.
What this does not mean
Past accuracy does not predict future results. A 71.4% historical hit rate still means roughly 3 in 10 picks will miss. Raina is an AI analyst, not a financial adviser or sportsbook.
Responsible use disclaimer
Cruz Control MMA and Raina Cruz provide fight analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. Betting involves real financial risk, and no model - human or AI - can remove that risk. If you choose to wager, only stake what you can afford to lose, set limits, and seek help if gambling stops being fun. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact your local support service.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.