Yaw Boateng vs Vlad Radu
Prelims · Middleweight · PFL
Yaw Boateng
“Bulldozer”
13-4-0
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 187 cm
- Reach
- 192 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 59%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 4.6
- Takedown defense
- 73%
- Control time
- 1:06 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 63/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - Unanimous DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2026-12-03
- Wvs Tom Fairweather - KO (Round 1)UFC 314 · 2026-01-22
- Lvs Bruno Alcantara - Submission (RNC)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-10-21
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - TKO (Round 2)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2025-11-12
Vlad Radu
“The Anvil”
15-7-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 189 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 10%
- Sub rate
- 54%
- Decision rate
- 36%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.9
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 77%
- Control time
- 7:36 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 78/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Nikita Volkov - Submission (RNC)UFC 314 · 2026-06-21
- Wvs Sam Okafor - TKO (Round 2)UFC Fight Night · 2026-07-12
- Lvs Bruno Alcantara - Unanimous DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2025-08-03
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - KO (Round 1)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2025-09-22
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Yaw Boateng
Confidence
54%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Yaw Boateng is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Vlad Radu's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 54%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Yaw Boateng
-188
- Market implied win %
- 65.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 54%
- Return on 100 staked
- +53
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Vlad Radu
+175
- Market implied win %
- 36.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 46%
- Return on 100 staked
- +175
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.3 pts
Edge on Yaw Boateng
- Raina's model
- 54%
- Market implied
- 65.3%
- at -188
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.3 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Yaw Boateng higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Boateng by KO/TKO+32023.8%
- Boateng by decision+14840.3%
- Radu by submission+61614%
- Fight goes the distance+11147.4%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
PFL · PFL Europe 4
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC
Yaw Boateng vs Vlad Radu
Prelims · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Yaw Boateng
54%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-188
65.3% implied · -11.3 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.