Sitthichai Chaiyaphum vs Anuwat Suriya
Co-Main · Bantamweight · World Title · ONE Championship
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum
“Left Foot”
22-4-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 170 cm
- Reach
- 173 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 59%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 27%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Takedown avg
- 0.9
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 4:08 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Danny Ochoa - TKO (Round 2)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-07-20
- Wvs Ivan Petrov - Submission (RNC)Cage Warriors 189 · 2026-06-01
- Wvs Marcus Bell - Submission (Guillotine)UFC Fight Night · 2025-09-02
- Wvs Kaito Ishida - DecisionUFC 314 · 2025-08-11
Anuwat Suriya
“Golden Elbow”
19-6-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 168 cm
- Reach
- 170 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 54%
- Sub rate
- 5%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Takedown avg
- 0.4
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 6:16 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 56/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Sam Okafor - Submission (Guillotine)UFC 314 · 2026-05-06
- Wvs Nikita Volkov - DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2026-04-15
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - TKO (Round 2)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-03-24
- Wvs Bruno Alcantara - Submission (RNC)UFC Fight Night · 2025-02-05
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum
Confidence
64%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 2
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 5 rounds.
Anuwat Suriya's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 64%.
Reach, stance (Southpaw vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum
-258
- Market implied win %
- 72.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 64%
- Return on 100 staked
- +39
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Anuwat Suriya
+234
- Market implied win %
- 29.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 36%
- Return on 100 staked
- +234
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.1 pts
Edge on Sitthichai Chaiyaphum
- Raina's model
- 64%
- Market implied
- 72.1%
- at -258
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sitthichai Chaiyaphum higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Chaiyaphum by KO/TKO+14341.2%
- Chaiyaphum by decision+19334.1%
- Suriya by submission+24728.8%
- Fight goes the distance+19833.6%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
ONE Championship · ONE 182: Tanaka vs Mendes
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum vs Anuwat Suriya
Co-Main · Bantamweight
Raina's pick
Sitthichai Chaiyaphum
64%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 2
Line & edge
-258
72.1% implied · -8.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.