Simran Kaur vs Lily Wong
Prelims · Women's Strawweight · ONE Championship
Simran Kaur
“Lioness”
9-1-0
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 163 cm
- Reach
- 167 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Strawweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 21%
- Sub rate
- 20%
- Decision rate
- 59%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.4
- Takedown avg
- 5.2
- Takedown defense
- 84%
- Control time
- 6:51 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Tom Fairweather - TKO (Round 2)UFC 314 · 2026-05-06
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - Submission (RNC)PFL Europe 2 · 2026-04-15
- Wvs Kaito Ishida - KO (Round 1)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-03-24
- Wvs Rui Mendes - Unanimous DecisionUFC Fight Night · 2025-02-05
Lily Wong
“Typhoon”
10-3-0
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 161 cm
- Reach
- 164 cm
- Stance
- Switch
- Weight class
- Women's Strawweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 53%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Takedown avg
- 0.7
- Takedown defense
- 69%
- Control time
- 1:09 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Marcus Bell - Submission (RNC)UFC Fight Night · 2026-04-11
- Wvs Ivan Petrov - TKO (Round 2)Cage Warriors 189 · 2026-05-02
- Lvs Rui Mendes - DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2025-02-01
- Wvs Kaito Ishida - Submission (Guillotine)UFC 314 · 2025-03-20
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Simran Kaur
Confidence
52%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Simran Kaur is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Lily Wong's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 52%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Switch) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Simran Kaur
-174
- Market implied win %
- 63.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 52%
- Return on 100 staked
- +57
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Lily Wong
+163
- Market implied win %
- 38%
- Raina's model win %
- 48%
- Return on 100 staked
- +163
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.5 pts
Edge on Simran Kaur
- Raina's model
- 52%
- Market implied
- 63.5%
- at -174
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Simran Kaur higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Kaur by KO/TKO+24628.9%
- Kaur by decision+23729.7%
- Wong by submission+57014.9%
- Fight goes the distance+11646.3%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
ONE Championship · ONE 182: Tanaka vs Mendes
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC
Simran Kaur vs Lily Wong
Prelims · Women's Strawweight
Raina's pick
Simran Kaur
52%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-174
63.5% implied · -11.5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.