Sean O'Donnell vs Bram Jansen
Main Card · Heavyweight · PFL
Sean O'Donnell
“Belfast Bull”
11-3-0
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 193 cm
- Reach
- 199 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 66%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 28%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Takedown avg
- 1.1
- Takedown defense
- 73%
- Control time
- 6:31 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 67/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Bruno Alcantara - TKO (Round 2)PFL Europe 2 · 2026-09-22
- Wvs Sam Okafor - Submission (RNC)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-08-03
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - KO (Round 1)UFC Fight Night · 2025-07-12
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - Unanimous DecisionUFC 314 · 2025-06-21
Bram Jansen
“The Dutchman”
12-4-0
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 195 cm
- Reach
- 200 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Heavyweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 25%
- Sub rate
- 23%
- Decision rate
- 52%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.4
- Takedown avg
- 3.9
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 4:52 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 58/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Danny Ochoa - KO (Round 1)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-03-28
- Wvs Ivan Petrov - Unanimous DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2026-02-09
- Wvs Marcus Bell - TKO (Round 2)UFC Fight Night · 2025-05-10
- Lvs Kaito Ishida - Submission (RNC)UFC 314 · 2025-04-19
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sean O'Donnell
Confidence
68%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 1
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sean O'Donnell is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Bram Jansen's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 68%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Southpaw) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Sean O'Donnell
-286
- Market implied win %
- 74.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 68%
- Return on 100 staked
- +35
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Bram Jansen
+258
- Market implied win %
- 27.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 32%
- Return on 100 staked
- +258
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.1 pts
Edge on Sean O'Donnell
- Raina's model
- 68%
- Market implied
- 74.1%
- at -286
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sean O'Donnell higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- O'Donnell by KO/TKO+24928.7%
- O'Donnell by decision+23829.6%
- Jansen by submission+35222.1%
- Fight goes the distance+16737.5%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
PFL · PFL Europe 4
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC
Sean O'Donnell vs Bram Jansen
Main Card · Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Sean O'Donnell
68%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 1
Line & edge
-286
74.1% implied · -6.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.