Ploy Sae-Lim vs Miu Takahashi
Main Card · Women's Atomweight · ONE Championship
Ploy Sae-Lim
“Little Knife”
13-3-0
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 158 cm
- Reach
- 161 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Atomweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 64%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 30%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6
- Takedown avg
- 0.6
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 3:16 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 87/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Marcus Bell - DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2026-10-25
- Wvs Ivan Petrov - Submission (Guillotine)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-11-16
- Wvs Danny Ochoa - Submission (RNC)PFL Europe 2 · 2025-12-07
- Wvs Yuta Nakamura - TKO (Round 2)UFC 314 · 2025-01-26
Miu Takahashi
“Quiet Rain”
11-2-0
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 160 cm
- Reach
- 162 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Women's Atomweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 14%
- Sub rate
- 46%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.8
- Takedown avg
- 3.8
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 7:47 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 79/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Dre Coleman - Unanimous DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2026-10-01
- Wvs Omar Haddad - KO (Round 1)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2026-11-20
- Lvs Jesse Lindqvist - DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2025-12-11
- Wvs Nikita Volkov - Submission (Guillotine)UFC 314 · 2025-01-02
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Miu Takahashi
Confidence
75%
Predicted method
Submission
Predicted round
Round 2
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Miu Takahashi is the more complete grappler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Ploy Sae-Lim's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 75%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Southpaw) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Ploy Sae-Lim
+300
- Market implied win %
- 25%
- Raina's model win %
- 25%
- Return on 100 staked
- +300
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Miu Takahashi
-335
- Market implied win %
- 77%
- Raina's model win %
- 75%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2 pts
Edge on Miu Takahashi
- Raina's model
- 75%
- Market implied
- 77%
- at -335
- Gap (model − market)
- -2 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Miu Takahashi higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Takahashi by KO/TKO+22730.6%
- Takahashi by decision+20432.9%
- Sae-Lim by submission+35322.1%
- Fight goes the distance+2083.3%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
ONE Championship · ONE 182: Tanaka vs Mendes
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC
Ploy Sae-Lim vs Miu Takahashi
Main Card · Women's Atomweight
Raina's pick
Miu Takahashi
75%
Method / round
Submission
Round 2
Line & edge
-335
77% implied · -2 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.