Marko Vuković vs Ibrahim Dembélé
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Marko Vuković
“Concrete”
16-5-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 176 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 25%
- Sub rate
- 23%
- Decision rate
- 52%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.7
- Takedown avg
- 3.3
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 4:35 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 54/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Rui Mendes - Submission (Guillotine)Cage Warriors 189 · 2026-07-24
- Lvs Tom Fairweather - DecisionUFC Fight Night · 2026-06-05
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - KO (Round 1)UFC 314 · 2025-09-06
- Lvs Leon Vasquez - Unanimous DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2025-08-15
Ibrahim Dembélé
“Le Loup”
12-3-0
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 182 cm
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 55%
- Sub rate
- 8%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.2
- Takedown avg
- 1.1
- Takedown defense
- 68%
- Control time
- 3:51 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 66/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Nikita Volkov - DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2026-06-01
- Wvs Sam Okafor - Submission (Guillotine)UFC 314 · 2026-07-20
- Lvs Bruno Alcantara - Submission (RNC)UFC Fight Night · 2025-08-11
- Wvs Leon Vasquez - TKO (Round 2)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-09-02
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Ibrahim Dembélé
Confidence
59%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Ibrahim Dembélé is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Marko Vuković's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Southpaw) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Marko Vuković
+205
- Market implied win %
- 32.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 41%
- Return on 100 staked
- +205
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Ibrahim Dembélé
-223
- Market implied win %
- 69%
- Raina's model win %
- 59%
- Return on 100 staked
- +45
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10 pts
Edge on Ibrahim Dembélé
- Raina's model
- 59%
- Market implied
- 69%
- at -223
- Gap (model − market)
- -10 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Ibrahim Dembélé higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Dembélé by KO/TKO+23429.9%
- Dembélé by decision+24129.3%
- Vuković by submission+40519.8%
- Fight goes the distance+8853.2%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC 321: Gamrot vs Salkilld
Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Marko Vuković vs Ibrahim Dembélé
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Ibrahim Dembélé
59%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-223
69% implied · -10 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.