Rasul Zaydulaev vs Bagas Prasetyo
Main Card · Lightweight · ONE Championship
Rasul Zaydulaev
“Highlander”
16-1-0
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 180 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 22%
- Sub rate
- 33%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Takedown avg
- 4
- Takedown defense
- 83%
- Control time
- 5:20 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Tom Fairweather - Unanimous DecisionPFL Europe 2 · 2026-04-27
- Wvs Rui Mendes - KO (Round 1)UFC 314 · 2026-05-18
- Lvs Leon Vasquez - Submission (RNC)Cage Warriors 189 · 2025-02-17
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - TKO (Round 2)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2025-03-08
Bagas Prasetyo
“Garuda”
14-4-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 176 cm
- Reach
- 181 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 17%
- Sub rate
- 50%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 2.4
- Takedown avg
- 2.6
- Takedown defense
- 66%
- Control time
- 6:49 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Recent fight history
- Wvs Bruno Alcantara - TKO (Round 2)UFC Fight Night · 2026-05-10
- Lvs Sam Okafor - Submission (RNC)UFC 314 · 2026-04-19
- Wvs Aziz Karimov - KO (Round 1)ONE Fight Night 28 · 2025-03-28
- Lvs Leon Vasquez - Unanimous DecisionCage Warriors 189 · 2025-02-09
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Rasul Zaydulaev
Confidence
56%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Rasul Zaydulaev is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Bagas Prasetyo's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Rasul Zaydulaev
-202
- Market implied win %
- 66.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 56%
- Return on 100 staked
- +50
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Bagas Prasetyo
+187
- Market implied win %
- 34.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 44%
- Return on 100 staked
- +187
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10.9 pts
Edge on Rasul Zaydulaev
- Raina's model
- 56%
- Market implied
- 66.9%
- at -202
- Gap (model − market)
- -10.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Rasul Zaydulaev higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Zaydulaev by KO/TKO+13043.5%
- Zaydulaev by decision+14341.2%
- Prasetyo by submission+43118.8%
- Fight goes the distance-6238.3%
Odds source: Consensus snapshot: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
ONE Championship · ONE 182: Tanaka vs Mendes
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC
Rasul Zaydulaev vs Bagas Prasetyo
Main Card · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Rasul Zaydulaev
56%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-202
66.9% implied · -10.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.