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← BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

Arbi Chakaev vs Dominik Herold

Main Card · Cruiserweight · BKFC

Official result

Arbi Chakaev def. Dominik Herold

TKO · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Arbi Chakaev

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Cruiserweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
62%
Decision rate
25%
Sig. strikes/min
5
Strike accuracy
55%
Opponent quality
61/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Dominik Herold

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Cruiserweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    59%
    Decision rate
    36%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.9
    Strike accuracy
    48%
    Opponent quality
    71/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Arbi Chakaev

      Confidence

      66%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingArbi Chakaev +14
      Inside workArbi Chakaev +13
      Ring generalshipDominik Herold +12
      CardioArbi Chakaev +21
      ExperienceDominik Herold +17
      Fight IQArbi Chakaev +13

      Why Raina made this pick

      Arbi Chakaev is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Dominik Herold's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 66%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Arbi Chakaev

      -272

      Market implied win %
      73.1%
      Raina's model win %
      66%
      Return on 100 staked
      +37

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Dominik Herold

      +246

      Market implied win %
      28.9%
      Raina's model win %
      34%
      Return on 100 staked
      +246

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -7.1 pts

      Edge on Arbi Chakaev

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      66%
      Market implied
      73.1%
      at -272
      Gap (model − market)
      -7.1 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Arbi Chakaev higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Chakaev by KO/TKO+16737.5%
      • Chakaev on points+23330%
      • Herold by KO/TKO+57814.7%
      • Fight goes the distance-65.7%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

      Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Arbi Chakaev vs Dominik Herold

      Main Card · Cruiserweight

      Raina's pick

      Arbi Chakaev

      66%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -272

      73.1% implied · -7.1 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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