Cristian Sabbatini vs Charli Marta
Main Card · Lightweight · BKFC
Official result
Cristian Sabbatini def. Charli Marta
Decision (unanimous) (29-27, 29-27, 30-27) · Round 5 · imported automatically after the event
Cristian Sabbatini
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 54%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.9
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Opponent quality
- 68/100
Recent form
Charli Marta
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Lightweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 63%
- Decision rate
- 29%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.5
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Opponent quality
- 83/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Cristian Sabbatini
Confidence
60%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 3
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Cristian Sabbatini is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.
Charli Marta's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 60%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Cristian Sabbatini
-230
- Market implied win %
- 69.7%
- Raina's model win %
- 60%
- Return on 100 staked
- +43
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Charli Marta
+211
- Market implied win %
- 32.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 40%
- Return on 100 staked
- +211
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-9.7 pts
Edge on Cristian Sabbatini
- Raina's model
- 60%
- Market implied
- 69.7%
- at -230
- Gap (model − market)
- -9.7 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Cristian Sabbatini higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Sabbatini by KO/TKO+16937.2%
- Sabbatini on points+25428.2%
- Marta by KO/TKO+50616.5%
- Fight goes the distance+13243.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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BKFC · BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi
Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Cristian Sabbatini vs Charli Marta
Main Card · Lightweight
Raina's pick
Cristian Sabbatini
60%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 3
Line & edge
-230
69.7% implied · -9.7 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.