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← BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

Jimmy Sweeney vs Nicholas Vescio

Main Card · Lightweight · BKFC

Official result

Jimmy Sweeney def. Nicholas Vescio

TKO · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Jimmy Sweeney

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
59%
Decision rate
31%
Sig. strikes/min
4.2
Strike accuracy
53%
Opponent quality
70/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Nicholas Vescio

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    Rebounding from a loss
    KO rate
    58%
    Decision rate
    33%
    Sig. strikes/min
    6
    Strike accuracy
    52%
    Opponent quality
    55/100

    Recent form

    WLWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Jimmy Sweeney

      Confidence

      76%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingNicholas Vescio +18
      Inside workJimmy Sweeney +11
      Ring generalshipNicholas Vescio +20
      CardioJimmy Sweeney +13
      ExperienceJimmy Sweeney +15
      Fight IQNicholas Vescio +15

      Why Raina made this pick

      Jimmy Sweeney is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Nicholas Vescio's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 76%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Jimmy Sweeney

      -342

      Market implied win %
      77.4%
      Raina's model win %
      76%
      Return on 100 staked
      +29

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Nicholas Vescio

      +306

      Market implied win %
      24.6%
      Raina's model win %
      24%
      Return on 100 staked
      +306

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -1.4 pts

      Edge on Jimmy Sweeney

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      76%
      Market implied
      77.4%
      at -342
      Gap (model − market)
      -1.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Jimmy Sweeney higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Sweeney by KO/TKO+30824.5%
      • Sweeney on points+14241.3%
      • Vescio by KO/TKO+46017.9%
      • Fight goes the distance-4531%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

      Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Jimmy Sweeney vs Nicholas Vescio

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Jimmy Sweeney

      76%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -342

      77.4% implied · -1.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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