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← BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

Lorenzo Hunt vs Walter Pugliesi

Main Event · Ironweight · World Title · BKFC

Official result

Lorenzo Hunt def. Walter Pugliesi

KO · Round 4 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnited States

Lorenzo Hunt

“The Juggernaut”

3-5-0

Age
43
Height
183 cm
Reach
191 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Ironweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
51%
Decision rate
43%
Sig. strikes/min
5.2
Strike accuracy
49%
Opponent quality
67/100

Recent form

WWWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Walter Pugliesi

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Ironweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    62%
    Decision rate
    31%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.9
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    61/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Walter Pugliesi

      Confidence

      73%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 1

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingLorenzo Hunt +11
      Inside workLorenzo Hunt +16
      Ring generalshipWalter Pugliesi +15
      CardioWalter Pugliesi +10
      ExperienceWalter Pugliesi +16
      Fight IQWalter Pugliesi +16

      Why Raina made this pick

      Walter Pugliesi is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 12 rounds.

      Lorenzo Hunt's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 73%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Lorenzo Hunt

      +288

      Market implied win %
      25.8%
      Raina's model win %
      27%
      Return on 100 staked
      +288

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Walter Pugliesi

      -321

      Market implied win %
      76.2%
      Raina's model win %
      73%
      Return on 100 staked
      +31

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.2 pts

      Edge on Walter Pugliesi

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      73%
      Market implied
      76.2%
      at -321
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.2 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Walter Pugliesi higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Pugliesi by KO/TKO+22430.9%
      • Pugliesi on points+26427.5%
      • Hunt by KO/TKO+47317.5%
      • Fight goes the distance+6062.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

      Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Lorenzo Hunt vs Walter Pugliesi

      Main Event · Ironweight

      Raina's pick

      Walter Pugliesi

      73%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 1

      Line & edge

      -321

      76.2% implied · -3.2 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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