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← BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

Tomas Melis vs Toni Estorer

Main Card · Light Heavyweight · World Title · BKFC

Official result

Tomas Melis def. Toni Estorer

TKO · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Tomas Melis

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
Rebounding from a loss
KO rate
52%
Decision rate
41%
Sig. strikes/min
5.6
Strike accuracy
50%
Opponent quality
57/100

Recent form

WLWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Toni Estorer

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    55%
    Decision rate
    39%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.7
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    67/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Tomas Melis

      Confidence

      74%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 3

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingTomas Melis +10
      Inside workToni Estorer +17
      Ring generalshipTomas Melis +22
      CardioToni Estorer +11
      ExperienceToni Estorer +13
      Fight IQToni Estorer +17

      Why Raina made this pick

      Tomas Melis is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Toni Estorer's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 74%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Tomas Melis

      -328

      Market implied win %
      76.6%
      Raina's model win %
      74%
      Return on 100 staked
      +30

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Toni Estorer

      +294

      Market implied win %
      25.4%
      Raina's model win %
      26%
      Return on 100 staked
      +294

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -2.6 pts

      Edge on Tomas Melis

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      74%
      Market implied
      76.6%
      at -328
      Gap (model − market)
      -2.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Tomas Melis higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Melis by KO/TKO+14241.3%
      • Melis on points+21232.1%
      • Estorer by KO/TKO+38620.6%
      • Fight goes the distance+15938.6%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 91 Naples: Hunt vs. Pugliesi

      Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Tomas Melis vs Toni Estorer

      Main Card · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Tomas Melis

      74%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 3

      Line & edge

      -328

      76.6% implied · -2.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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