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← BKFC 92 Boston: Stewart vs. Gigliotti

Charles Rosa vs Charon Spain

Main Card · Lightweight · BKFC

Red cornerU.S.

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-9-0

Age
39
Height
175 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Switch
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
49%
Decision rate
40%
Sig. strikes/min
5.1
Strike accuracy
53%
Opponent quality
54/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Charon Spain

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    50%
    Decision rate
    37%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.3
    Strike accuracy
    46%
    Opponent quality
    67/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Charon Spain

      Confidence

      63%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingCharles Rosa +17
      Inside workCharles Rosa +22
      Ring generalshipCharles Rosa +17
      CardioCharon Spain +16
      ExperienceCharon Spain +20
      Fight IQCharon Spain +16

      Why Raina made this pick

      Charon Spain is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Charles Rosa's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.

      Reach, stance (Switch vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Charles Rosa

      +228

      Market implied win %
      30.5%
      Raina's model win %
      37%
      Return on 100 staked
      +228

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Charon Spain

      -251

      Market implied win %
      71.5%
      Raina's model win %
      63%
      Return on 100 staked
      +40

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.5 pts

      Edge on Charon Spain

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      63%
      Market implied
      71.5%
      at -251
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Charon Spain higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Spain by KO/TKO+23629.8%
      • Spain on points+25328.3%
      • Rosa by KO/TKO+38720.5%
      • Fight goes the distance+5863.3%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 92 Boston: Stewart vs. Gigliotti

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Charles Rosa vs Charon Spain

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Charon Spain

      63%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -251

      71.5% implied · -8.5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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