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← BKFC 92 Boston: Stewart vs. Gigliotti

Pat Casey vs Dallas Davison

Main Card · Middleweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Pat Casey

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
51%
Decision rate
38%
Sig. strikes/min
4.9
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
84/100

Recent form

WWWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Dallas Davison

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    57%
    Decision rate
    38%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.3
    Strike accuracy
    47%
    Opponent quality
    76/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Dallas Davison

      Confidence

      61%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingDallas Davison +11
      Inside workPat Casey +10
      Ring generalshipPat Casey +15
      CardioPat Casey +10
      ExperiencePat Casey +16
      Fight IQPat Casey +16

      Why Raina made this pick

      Dallas Davison is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Pat Casey's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 61%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Pat Casey

      +216

      Market implied win %
      31.6%
      Raina's model win %
      39%
      Return on 100 staked
      +216

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Dallas Davison

      -237

      Market implied win %
      70.3%
      Raina's model win %
      61%
      Return on 100 staked
      +42

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -9.3 pts

      Edge on Dallas Davison

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      61%
      Market implied
      70.3%
      at -237
      Gap (model − market)
      -9.3 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Dallas Davison higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Davison by KO/TKO+30924.4%
      • Davison on points+21132.2%
      • Casey by KO/TKO+32423.6%
      • Fight goes the distance+5763.7%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 92 Boston: Stewart vs. Gigliotti

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Pat Casey vs Dallas Davison

      Main Card · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Dallas Davison

      61%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -237

      70.3% implied · -9.3 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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