Skip to main content
CRUZ CONTROLMMA
← BKFC 95 Newark: Herring vs. Dodson

Dylan Pitt vs Nicholas Sarasoga

Main Card · Lightweight · BKFC

Official result

Dylan Pitt def. Nicholas Sarasoga

TKO · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Dylan Pitt

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
48%
Decision rate
47%
Sig. strikes/min
5.4
Strike accuracy
52%
Opponent quality
83/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Nicholas Sarasoga

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    Rebounding from a loss
    KO rate
    68%
    Decision rate
    21%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.7
    Strike accuracy
    55%
    Opponent quality
    54/100

    Recent form

    WLWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Nicholas Sarasoga

      Confidence

      65%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingNicholas Sarasoga +21
      Inside workNicholas Sarasoga +14
      Ring generalshipDylan Pitt +17
      CardioDylan Pitt +20
      ExperienceNicholas Sarasoga +12
      Fight IQDylan Pitt +12

      Why Raina made this pick

      Nicholas Sarasoga is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Dylan Pitt's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 65%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Dylan Pitt

      +240

      Market implied win %
      29.4%
      Raina's model win %
      35%
      Return on 100 staked
      +240

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Nicholas Sarasoga

      -265

      Market implied win %
      72.6%
      Raina's model win %
      65%
      Return on 100 staked
      +38

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -7.6 pts

      Edge on Nicholas Sarasoga

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      65%
      Market implied
      72.6%
      at -265
      Gap (model − market)
      -7.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Nicholas Sarasoga higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Sarasoga by KO/TKO+13941.8%
      • Sarasoga on points+11845.9%
      • Pitt by KO/TKO+52815.9%
      • Fight goes the distance+6959.2%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 95 Newark: Herring vs. Dodson

      Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Dylan Pitt vs Nicholas Sarasoga

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Nicholas Sarasoga

      65%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -265

      72.6% implied · -7.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

      Auto synced

      Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.