Lewis Knox vs Tommy Carus
Main Card · Featherweight · BKFC
Official result
Lewis Knox def. Tommy Carus
TKO · Round 4 · imported automatically after the event
Lewis Knox
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 56%
- Decision rate
- 34%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.2
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Tommy Carus
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 65%
- Decision rate
- 31%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.9
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Opponent quality
- 80/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Tommy Carus
Confidence
67%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (10 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Tommy Carus is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.
Lewis Knox's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 67%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Lewis Knox
+252
- Market implied win %
- 28.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 33%
- Return on 100 staked
- +252
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Tommy Carus
-279
- Market implied win %
- 73.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 67%
- Return on 100 staked
- +36
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.6 pts
Edge on Tommy Carus
- Raina's model
- 67%
- Market implied
- 73.6%
- at -279
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Tommy Carus higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Carus by KO/TKO+19933.4%
- Carus on points+27526.7%
- Knox by KO/TKO+28625.9%
- Fight goes the distance+17736.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
BKFC · BKFC 96 Glasgow: Cooke vs. Weir
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Lewis Knox vs Tommy Carus
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Tommy Carus
67%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (10 rounds)
Line & edge
-279
73.6% implied · -6.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.