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← BKFC 96 Glasgow: Cooke vs. Weir

Rhys Pagan vs Danny Moir

Main Card · Light Heavyweight · BKFC

Official result

Rhys Pagan def. Danny Moir

TKO · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Rhys Pagan

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
67%
Decision rate
29%
Sig. strikes/min
5.4
Strike accuracy
55%
Opponent quality
68/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Danny Moir

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    2-fight win streak
    KO rate
    60%
    Decision rate
    26%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.9
    Strike accuracy
    49%
    Opponent quality
    75/100

    Recent form

    WWLWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Danny Moir

      Confidence

      63%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingRhys Pagan +17
      Inside workDanny Moir +22
      Ring generalshipDanny Moir +17
      CardioDanny Moir +22
      ExperienceDanny Moir +14
      Fight IQRhys Pagan +10

      Why Raina made this pick

      Danny Moir is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Rhys Pagan's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Rhys Pagan

      +228

      Market implied win %
      30.5%
      Raina's model win %
      37%
      Return on 100 staked
      +228

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Danny Moir

      -251

      Market implied win %
      71.5%
      Raina's model win %
      63%
      Return on 100 staked
      +40

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.5 pts

      Edge on Danny Moir

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      63%
      Market implied
      71.5%
      at -251
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Danny Moir higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Moir by KO/TKO+18535.1%
      • Moir on points+25628.1%
      • Pagan by KO/TKO+30324.8%
      • Fight goes the distance+1388.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC 96 Glasgow: Cooke vs. Weir

      Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Rhys Pagan vs Danny Moir

      Main Card · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Danny Moir

      63%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -251

      71.5% implied · -8.5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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