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← BKFC Fight Night Belgrade: Faulkner vs. Prašović

Strahinja Karabegovic vs Brajan Jovanovic

Main Card · Middleweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Strahinja Karabegovic

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
64%
Decision rate
29%
Sig. strikes/min
6.1
Strike accuracy
48%
Opponent quality
64/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Brajan Jovanovic

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    50%
    Decision rate
    41%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.3
    Strike accuracy
    54%
    Opponent quality
    80/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Brajan Jovanovic

      Confidence

      55%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingBrajan Jovanovic +13
      Inside workStrahinja Karabegovic +12
      Ring generalshipStrahinja Karabegovic +19
      CardioStrahinja Karabegovic +12
      ExperienceBrajan Jovanovic +10
      Fight IQBrajan Jovanovic +14

      Why Raina made this pick

      Brajan Jovanovic is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Strahinja Karabegovic's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 55%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Strahinja Karabegovic

      +181

      Market implied win %
      35.6%
      Raina's model win %
      45%
      Return on 100 staked
      +181

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Brajan Jovanovic

      -195

      Market implied win %
      66.1%
      Raina's model win %
      55%
      Return on 100 staked
      +51

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -11.1 pts

      Edge on Brajan Jovanovic

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      55%
      Market implied
      66.1%
      at -195
      Gap (model − market)
      -11.1 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Brajan Jovanovic higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Jovanovic by KO/TKO+15639.1%
      • Jovanovic on points+13243.1%
      • Karabegovic by KO/TKO+49416.8%
      • Fight goes the distance+7357.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Belgrade: Faulkner vs. Prašović

      Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Strahinja Karabegovic vs Brajan Jovanovic

      Main Card · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Brajan Jovanovic

      55%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -195

      66.1% implied · -11.1 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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