Skip to main content
CRUZ CONTROLMMA
← BKFC Fight Night Bethlehem: Cisneros vs. Petersen

Antonio Castillo Jr vs Jay Haas

Main Card · Lightweight · BKFC

Official result

Antonio Castillo Jr def. Jay Haas

KO · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Antonio Castillo Jr

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
55%
Decision rate
37%
Sig. strikes/min
5.5
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
88/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Jay Haas

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Featherweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    48%
    Decision rate
    42%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.8
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    84/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Antonio Castillo Jr

      Confidence

      76%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 3

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingJay Haas +12
      Inside workAntonio Castillo Jr +11
      Ring generalshipJay Haas +14
      CardioJay Haas +13
      ExperienceAntonio Castillo Jr +21
      Fight IQAntonio Castillo Jr +15

      Why Raina made this pick

      Antonio Castillo Jr is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Jay Haas's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 76%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Antonio Castillo Jr

      -342

      Market implied win %
      77.4%
      Raina's model win %
      76%
      Return on 100 staked
      +29

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Jay Haas

      +306

      Market implied win %
      24.6%
      Raina's model win %
      24%
      Return on 100 staked
      +306

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -1.4 pts

      Edge on Antonio Castillo Jr

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      76%
      Market implied
      77.4%
      at -342
      Gap (model − market)
      -1.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Antonio Castillo Jr higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Jr by KO/TKO+14241.3%
      • Jr on points+16138.3%
      • Haas by KO/TKO+26327.5%
      • Fight goes the distance-13757.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Bethlehem: Cisneros vs. Petersen

      Friday, October 9, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Antonio Castillo Jr vs Jay Haas

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Antonio Castillo Jr

      76%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 3

      Line & edge

      -342

      77.4% implied · -1.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

      Auto synced

      Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.