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← BKFC Fight Night Clearwater: Reber vs. Street

Doug Coltrane vs Tony Murphy

Main Card · Middleweight · BKFC

Official result

Doug Coltrane def. Tony Murphy

KO · Round 2 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Doug Coltrane

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
68%
Decision rate
22%
Sig. strikes/min
4.9
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
65/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Tony Murphy

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    2-fight win streak
    KO rate
    55%
    Decision rate
    35%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.3
    Strike accuracy
    46%
    Opponent quality
    55/100

    Recent form

    WWLWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Doug Coltrane

      Confidence

      70%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 3

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingTony Murphy +10
      Inside workDoug Coltrane +23
      Ring generalshipDoug Coltrane +16
      CardioTony Murphy +17
      ExperienceDoug Coltrane +13
      Fight IQDoug Coltrane +17

      Why Raina made this pick

      Doug Coltrane is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Tony Murphy's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 70%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Doug Coltrane

      -300

      Market implied win %
      75%
      Raina's model win %
      70%
      Return on 100 staked
      +33

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Tony Murphy

      +270

      Market implied win %
      27%
      Raina's model win %
      30%
      Return on 100 staked
      +270

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -5 pts

      Edge on Doug Coltrane

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      70%
      Market implied
      75%
      at -300
      Gap (model − market)
      -5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Doug Coltrane higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Coltrane by KO/TKO+21931.3%
      • Coltrane on points+12344.8%
      • Murphy by KO/TKO+32723.4%
      • Fight goes the distance-4631.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Clearwater: Reber vs. Street

      Friday, October 23, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Doug Coltrane vs Tony Murphy

      Main Card · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Doug Coltrane

      70%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 3

      Line & edge

      -300

      75% implied · -5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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