Sam Delao vs Chris Keirn
Main Card · Light Heavyweight · BKFC
Official result
Sam Delao def. Chris Keirn
Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event
Sam Delao
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 61%
- Decision rate
- 27%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Opponent quality
- 60/100
Recent form
Chris Keirn
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 61%
- Decision rate
- 29%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.2
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Opponent quality
- 70/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sam Delao
Confidence
62%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 1
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sam Delao is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.
Chris Keirn's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 62%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Sam Delao
-244
- Market implied win %
- 70.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 62%
- Return on 100 staked
- +41
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Chris Keirn
+222
- Market implied win %
- 31.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 38%
- Return on 100 staked
- +222
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.9 pts
Edge on Sam Delao
- Raina's model
- 62%
- Market implied
- 70.9%
- at -244
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.9 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sam Delao higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Delao by KO/TKO+13243.1%
- Delao on points+20033.3%
- Keirn by KO/TKO+29025.6%
- Fight goes the distance+6461%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Clearwater: Reber vs. Street
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Sam Delao vs Chris Keirn
Main Card · Light Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Sam Delao
62%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 1
Line & edge
-244
70.9% implied · -8.9 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.