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← BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

Benjamin Moser vs Julian Valencia

Main Card · Bantamweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Benjamin Moser

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Bantamweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
54%
Decision rate
42%
Sig. strikes/min
6.2
Strike accuracy
53%
Opponent quality
71/100

Recent form

WWWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Julian Valencia

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Bantamweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    50%
    Decision rate
    41%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.6
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    75/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Julian Valencia

      Confidence

      53%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingBenjamin Moser +11
      Inside workBenjamin Moser +16
      Ring generalshipBenjamin Moser +15
      CardioBenjamin Moser +10
      ExperienceJulian Valencia +16
      Fight IQBenjamin Moser +22

      Why Raina made this pick

      Julian Valencia is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Benjamin Moser's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 53%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Benjamin Moser

      +169

      Market implied win %
      37.2%
      Raina's model win %
      47%
      Return on 100 staked
      +169

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Julian Valencia

      -181

      Market implied win %
      64.4%
      Raina's model win %
      53%
      Return on 100 staked
      +55

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -11.4 pts

      Edge on Julian Valencia

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      53%
      Market implied
      64.4%
      at -181
      Gap (model − market)
      -11.4 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Julian Valencia higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Valencia by KO/TKO+30724.6%
      • Valencia on points+15738.9%
      • Moser by KO/TKO+48617.1%
      • Fight goes the distance-87.4%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

      Friday, December 4, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Benjamin Moser vs Julian Valencia

      Main Card · Bantamweight

      Raina's pick

      Julian Valencia

      53%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -181

      64.4% implied · -11.4 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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