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← BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

Colin Reeser vs Fabricio Berrun

Main Card · Featherweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Colin Reeser

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Featherweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
48%
Decision rate
47%
Sig. strikes/min
4.6
Strike accuracy
45%
Opponent quality
58/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Fabricio Berrun

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Featherweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    50%
    Decision rate
    43%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.7
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    80/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Fabricio Berrun

      Confidence

      77%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingFabricio Berrun +11
      Inside workColin Reeser +10
      Ring generalshipColin Reeser +15
      CardioFabricio Berrun +10
      ExperienceFabricio Berrun +22
      Fight IQColin Reeser +16

      Why Raina made this pick

      Fabricio Berrun is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Colin Reeser's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 77%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Colin Reeser

      +312

      Market implied win %
      24.3%
      Raina's model win %
      23%
      Return on 100 staked
      +312

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Fabricio Berrun

      -349

      Market implied win %
      77.7%
      Raina's model win %
      77%
      Return on 100 staked
      +29

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -0.7 pts

      Edge on Fabricio Berrun

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      77%
      Market implied
      77.7%
      at -349
      Gap (model − market)
      -0.7 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Fabricio Berrun higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Berrun by KO/TKO+17836%
      • Berrun on points+20732.6%
      • Reeser by KO/TKO+25128.5%
      • Fight goes the distance-6639.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

      Friday, December 4, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Colin Reeser vs Fabricio Berrun

      Main Card · Featherweight

      Raina's pick

      Fabricio Berrun

      77%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -349

      77.7% implied · -0.7 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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