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← BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

Lex Ludlow vs Mike Liberto

Main Card · Cruiserweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Lex Ludlow

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Cruiserweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
67%
Decision rate
26%
Sig. strikes/min
6.1
Strike accuracy
49%
Opponent quality
78/100

Recent form

WWWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Mike Liberto

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Cruiserweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    64%
    Decision rate
    23%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.6
    Strike accuracy
    45%
    Opponent quality
    83/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Lex Ludlow

      Confidence

      56%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingLex Ludlow +16
      Inside workLex Ludlow +15
      Ring generalshipLex Ludlow +10
      CardioMike Liberto +17
      ExperienceMike Liberto +11
      Fight IQMike Liberto +17

      Why Raina made this pick

      Lex Ludlow is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Mike Liberto's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Lex Ludlow

      -202

      Market implied win %
      66.9%
      Raina's model win %
      56%
      Return on 100 staked
      +50

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Mike Liberto

      +187

      Market implied win %
      34.8%
      Raina's model win %
      44%
      Return on 100 staked
      +187

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10.9 pts

      Edge on Lex Ludlow

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      56%
      Market implied
      66.9%
      at -202
      Gap (model − market)
      -10.9 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Lex Ludlow higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Ludlow by KO/TKO+23130.2%
      • Ludlow on points+16737.5%
      • Liberto by KO/TKO+60214.2%
      • Fight goes the distance-3727%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Hershey: Pague vs. Richman

      Friday, December 4, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Lex Ludlow vs Mike Liberto

      Main Card · Cruiserweight

      Raina's pick

      Lex Ludlow

      56%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -202

      66.9% implied · -10.9 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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