Matthew Semelsberger vs Michael Manno
Main Card · Middleweight · BKFC
Matthew Semelsberger
Record unlisted
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 61%
- Decision rate
- 25%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.6
- Strike accuracy
- 54%
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Michael Manno
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 56%
- Decision rate
- 32%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 48%
- Opponent quality
- 85/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Michael Manno
Confidence
69%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (10 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Michael Manno is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.
Matthew Semelsberger's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 69%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Matthew Semelsberger
+264
- Market implied win %
- 27.5%
- Raina's model win %
- 31%
- Return on 100 staked
- +264
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Michael Manno
-293
- Market implied win %
- 74.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 69%
- Return on 100 staked
- +34
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5.6 pts
Edge on Michael Manno
- Raina's model
- 69%
- Market implied
- 74.6%
- at -293
- Gap (model − market)
- -5.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Michael Manno higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Manno by KO/TKO+22830.5%
- Manno on points+18035.7%
- Semelsberger by KO/TKO+38920.4%
- Fight goes the distance+16138.3%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Matthew Semelsberger vs Michael Manno
Main Card · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Michael Manno
69%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (10 rounds)
Line & edge
-293
74.6% implied · -5.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.