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← BKFC Fight Night Mohegan Sun: Henry vs. Trinidad

Alexandra Ballou vs Sophia Hayes

Main Card · W.Bantamweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Alexandra Ballou

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
W.Bantamweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
56%
Decision rate
39%
Sig. strikes/min
4.8
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
68/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Sophia Hayes

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    W.Bantamweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    64%
    Decision rate
    29%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.5
    Strike accuracy
    54%
    Opponent quality
    54/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Sophia Hayes

      Confidence

      65%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingAlexandra Ballou +11
      Inside workSophia Hayes +16
      Ring generalshipSophia Hayes +15
      CardioSophia Hayes +10
      ExperienceSophia Hayes +16
      Fight IQAlexandra Ballou +22

      Why Raina made this pick

      Sophia Hayes is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Alexandra Ballou's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 65%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Alexandra Ballou

      +240

      Market implied win %
      29.4%
      Raina's model win %
      35%
      Return on 100 staked
      +240

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Sophia Hayes

      -265

      Market implied win %
      72.6%
      Raina's model win %
      65%
      Return on 100 staked
      +38

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -7.6 pts

      Edge on Sophia Hayes

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      65%
      Market implied
      72.6%
      at -265
      Gap (model − market)
      -7.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Sophia Hayes higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Hayes by KO/TKO+17336.6%
      • Hayes on points+20333%
      • Ballou by KO/TKO+36121.7%
      • Fight goes the distance-7141.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

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      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Mohegan Sun: Henry vs. Trinidad

      Friday, August 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Alexandra Ballou vs Sophia Hayes

      Main Card · W.Bantamweight

      Raina's pick

      Sophia Hayes

      65%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -265

      72.6% implied · -7.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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