Skip to main content
CRUZ CONTROLMMA
← BKFC Fight Night Mohegan Sun: Henry vs. Trinidad

Cody Vidal vs Joseph Creer

Co-Main · Light Heavyweight · BKFC

Red cornerUnlisted

Cody Vidal

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
53%
Decision rate
39%
Sig. strikes/min
4.4
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
65/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Joseph Creer

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    66%
    Decision rate
    29%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.9
    Strike accuracy
    53%
    Opponent quality
    60/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Joseph Creer

      Confidence

      59%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (12 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingJoseph Creer +19
      Inside workJoseph Creer +12
      Ring generalshipJoseph Creer +19
      CardioCody Vidal +12
      ExperienceCody Vidal +10
      Fight IQJoseph Creer +20

      Why Raina made this pick

      Joseph Creer is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 12 rounds.

      Cody Vidal's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Cody Vidal

      +205

      Market implied win %
      32.8%
      Raina's model win %
      41%
      Return on 100 staked
      +205

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Joseph Creer

      -223

      Market implied win %
      69%
      Raina's model win %
      59%
      Return on 100 staked
      +45

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10 pts

      Edge on Joseph Creer

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      59%
      Market implied
      69%
      at -223
      Gap (model − market)
      -10 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Joseph Creer higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Creer by KO/TKO+26527.4%
      • Creer on points+19933.4%
      • Vidal by KO/TKO+26727.2%
      • Fight goes the distance+10748.3%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Mohegan Sun: Henry vs. Trinidad

      Friday, August 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Cody Vidal vs Joseph Creer

      Co-Main · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Joseph Creer

      59%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (12 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -223

      69% implied · -10 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

      Auto synced

      Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.