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← BKFC Fight Night Newcastle: Garside vs. Taylor

Mikey Nolan vs John Ferguson

Main Card · Middleweight · BKFC

Official result

Mikey Nolan def. John Ferguson

Decision (unanimous) (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) · Round 5 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Mikey Nolan

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
63%
Decision rate
23%
Sig. strikes/min
5.2
Strike accuracy
47%
Opponent quality
82/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    John Ferguson

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    Rebounding from a loss
    KO rate
    58%
    Decision rate
    31%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.8
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    69/100

    Recent form

    WLWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Mikey Nolan

      Confidence

      78%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingJohn Ferguson +10
      Inside workJohn Ferguson +17
      Ring generalshipMikey Nolan +16
      CardioMikey Nolan +11
      ExperienceJohn Ferguson +13
      Fight IQMikey Nolan +23

      Why Raina made this pick

      Mikey Nolan is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      John Ferguson's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 78%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Mikey Nolan

      -356

      Market implied win %
      78.1%
      Raina's model win %
      78%
      Return on 100 staked
      +28

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      John Ferguson

      +318

      Market implied win %
      23.9%
      Raina's model win %
      22%
      Return on 100 staked
      +318

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -0.1 pts

      Edge on Mikey Nolan

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      78%
      Market implied
      78.1%
      at -356
      Gap (model − market)
      -0.1 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Mikey Nolan higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Nolan by KO/TKO+22331%
      • Nolan on points+11746.1%
      • Ferguson by KO/TKO+34222.6%
      • Fight goes the distance+3673.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Newcastle: Garside vs. Taylor

      Saturday, August 1, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Mikey Nolan vs John Ferguson

      Main Card · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Mikey Nolan

      78%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -356

      78.1% implied · -0.1 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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