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BKFC Fight Night Sturgis: Acheson vs. Jones

Bear Hill vs Brady Meister

Co-Main · Heavyweight · BKFC

Official result

Bear Hill def. Brady Meister

KO · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Bear Hill

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Heavyweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
68%
Decision rate
23%
Sig. strikes/min
5.2
Strike accuracy
46%
Opponent quality
76/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Brady Meister

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Heavyweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    60%
    Decision rate
    32%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.9
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    68/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Bear Hill

      Confidence

      72%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 3

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingBrady Meister +12
      Inside workBear Hill +17
      Ring generalshipBear Hill +20
      CardioBear Hill +19
      ExperienceBrady Meister +21
      Fight IQBrady Meister +15

      Why Raina made this pick

      Bear Hill is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 12 rounds.

      Brady Meister's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 72%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Bear Hill

      -314

      Market implied win %
      75.8%
      Raina's model win %
      72%
      Return on 100 staked
      +32

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Brady Meister

      +282

      Market implied win %
      26.2%
      Raina's model win %
      28%
      Return on 100 staked
      +282

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.8 pts

      Edge on Bear Hill

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      72%
      Market implied
      75.8%
      at -314
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.8 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Bear Hill higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Hill by KO/TKO+23030.3%
      • Hill on points+13043.5%
      • Meister by KO/TKO+57114.9%
      • Fight goes the distance+1984%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Sturgis: Acheson vs. Jones

      Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Bear Hill vs Brady Meister

      Co-Main · Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Bear Hill

      72%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 3

      Line & edge

      -314

      75.8% implied · -3.8 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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