Jason Simon vs Jason Sanderson
Main Card · Welterweight · BKFC
Official result
Jason Simon def. Jason Sanderson
KO · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event
Jason Simon
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 61%
- Decision rate
- 30%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.3
- Strike accuracy
- 45%
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Jason Sanderson
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 64%
- Decision rate
- 25%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.9
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Jason Sanderson
Confidence
61%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (10 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Jason Sanderson is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.
Jason Simon's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 61%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jason Simon
+216
- Market implied win %
- 31.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 39%
- Return on 100 staked
- +216
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Jason Sanderson
-237
- Market implied win %
- 70.3%
- Raina's model win %
- 61%
- Return on 100 staked
- +42
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-9.3 pts
Edge on Jason Sanderson
- Raina's model
- 61%
- Market implied
- 70.3%
- at -237
- Gap (model − market)
- -9.3 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Jason Sanderson higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Sanderson by KO/TKO+28925.7%
- Sanderson on points+13542.6%
- Simon by KO/TKO+57814.7%
- Fight goes the distance-5635.9%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Jason Simon vs Jason Sanderson
Main Card · Welterweight
Raina's pick
Jason Sanderson
61%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (10 rounds)
Line & edge
-237
70.3% implied · -9.3 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.