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BKFC Fight Night Sturgis: Acheson vs. Jones

Traevon Kroger vs KB Dubeau-Staby

Main Card · Featherweight · BKFC

Official result

Traevon Kroger def. KB Dubeau-Staby

TKO (doctor stoppage) · Round 1 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Traevon Kroger

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Featherweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
64%
Decision rate
23%
Sig. strikes/min
4.8
Strike accuracy
48%
Opponent quality
79/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    KB Dubeau-Staby

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Featherweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    61%
    Decision rate
    31%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.3
    Strike accuracy
    52%
    Opponent quality
    69/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Traevon Kroger

      Confidence

      60%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingKB Dubeau-Staby +12
      Inside workKB Dubeau-Staby +11
      Ring generalshipTraevon Kroger +14
      CardioKB Dubeau-Staby +19
      ExperienceKB Dubeau-Staby +15
      Fight IQKB Dubeau-Staby +21

      Why Raina made this pick

      Traevon Kroger is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      KB Dubeau-Staby's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 60%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Traevon Kroger

      -230

      Market implied win %
      69.7%
      Raina's model win %
      60%
      Return on 100 staked
      +43

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      KB Dubeau-Staby

      +211

      Market implied win %
      32.2%
      Raina's model win %
      40%
      Return on 100 staked
      +211

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -9.7 pts

      Edge on Traevon Kroger

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      60%
      Market implied
      69.7%
      at -230
      Gap (model − market)
      -9.7 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Traevon Kroger higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Kroger by KO/TKO+16837.3%
      • Kroger on points+16937.2%
      • Dubeau-Staby by KO/TKO+34322.6%
      • Fight goes the distance-9849.5%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Sturgis: Acheson vs. Jones

      Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Traevon Kroger vs KB Dubeau-Staby

      Main Card · Featherweight

      Raina's pick

      Traevon Kroger

      60%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -230

      69.7% implied · -9.7 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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