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← BKFC Fight Night Uruguay: Reyno vs. Krejci

Harel Nicodella vs Franco Perochena

Main Card · Light Heavyweight · BKFC

Official result

Harel Nicodella def. Franco Perochena

TKO · Round 3 · imported automatically after the event

Red cornerUnlisted

Harel Nicodella

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
59%
Decision rate
27%
Sig. strikes/min
5.7
Strike accuracy
50%
Opponent quality
67/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Franco Perochena

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Light Heavyweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    62%
    Decision rate
    31%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.5
    Strike accuracy
    48%
    Opponent quality
    83/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Franco Perochena

      Confidence

      63%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingFranco Perochena +23
      Inside workFranco Perochena +16
      Ring generalshipFranco Perochena +23
      CardioFranco Perochena +16
      ExperienceHarel Nicodella +14
      Fight IQHarel Nicodella +10

      Why Raina made this pick

      Franco Perochena is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Harel Nicodella's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Harel Nicodella

      +228

      Market implied win %
      30.5%
      Raina's model win %
      37%
      Return on 100 staked
      +228

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Franco Perochena

      -251

      Market implied win %
      71.5%
      Raina's model win %
      63%
      Return on 100 staked
      +40

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.5 pts

      Edge on Franco Perochena

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      63%
      Market implied
      71.5%
      at -251
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Franco Perochena higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Perochena by KO/TKO+13742.2%
      • Perochena on points+23629.8%
      • Nicodella by KO/TKO+35522%
      • Fight goes the distance-6940.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      BKFC · BKFC Fight Night Uruguay: Reyno vs. Krejci

      Saturday, July 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Harel Nicodella vs Franco Perochena

      Main Card · Light Heavyweight

      Raina's pick

      Franco Perochena

      63%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -251

      71.5% implied · -8.5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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