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← Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

Constantin Ursu vs Ben Vaughan

Main Card · Welterweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Constantin Ursu

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Welterweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
66%
Decision rate
21%
Sig. strikes/min
5.1
Strike accuracy
49%
Opponent quality
84/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Ben Vaughan

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Welterweight
    Streak
    2-fight win streak
    KO rate
    51%
    Decision rate
    42%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.3
    Strike accuracy
    49%
    Opponent quality
    78/100

    Recent form

    WWLWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Ben Vaughan

      Confidence

      73%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 1

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingConstantin Ursu +15
      Inside workBen Vaughan +14
      Ring generalshipBen Vaughan +11
      CardioBen Vaughan +14
      ExperienceBen Vaughan +12
      Fight IQBen Vaughan +18

      Why Raina made this pick

      Ben Vaughan is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Constantin Ursu's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 73%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Constantin Ursu

      +288

      Market implied win %
      25.8%
      Raina's model win %
      27%
      Return on 100 staked
      +288

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Ben Vaughan

      -321

      Market implied win %
      76.2%
      Raina's model win %
      73%
      Return on 100 staked
      +31

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.2 pts

      Edge on Ben Vaughan

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      73%
      Market implied
      76.2%
      at -321
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.2 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Ben Vaughan higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Vaughan by KO/TKO+24429.1%
      • Vaughan on points+20532.8%
      • Ursu by KO/TKO+41119.6%
      • Fight goes the distance-14959.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Constantin Ursu vs Ben Vaughan

      Main Card · Welterweight

      Raina's pick

      Ben Vaughan

      73%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 1

      Line & edge

      -321

      76.2% implied · -3.2 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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