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← Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

Sam King vs Jack Swallow

Prelims · Middleweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Sam King

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Middleweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
54%
Decision rate
33%
Sig. strikes/min
4.7
Strike accuracy
51%
Opponent quality
67/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Jack Swallow

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Middleweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    49%
    Decision rate
    38%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.6
    Strike accuracy
    50%
    Opponent quality
    85/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Sam King

      Confidence

      66%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingJack Swallow +10
      Inside workJack Swallow +17
      Ring generalshipJack Swallow +22
      CardioJack Swallow +17
      ExperienceJack Swallow +13
      Fight IQSam King +23

      Why Raina made this pick

      Sam King is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Jack Swallow's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 66%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Sam King

      -272

      Market implied win %
      73.1%
      Raina's model win %
      66%
      Return on 100 staked
      +37

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Jack Swallow

      +246

      Market implied win %
      28.9%
      Raina's model win %
      34%
      Return on 100 staked
      +246

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -7.1 pts

      Edge on Sam King

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      66%
      Market implied
      73.1%
      at -272
      Gap (model − market)
      -7.1 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Sam King higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • King by KO/TKO+26827.2%
      • King on points+13842%
      • Swallow by KO/TKO+40219.9%
      • Fight goes the distance-1210.7%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Sam King vs Jack Swallow

      Prelims · Middleweight

      Raina's pick

      Sam King

      66%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -272

      73.1% implied · -7.1 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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