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Tony Curtis vs Nathan Gonzales

Main Card · Super flyweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Tony Curtis

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Super flyweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
57%
Decision rate
36%
Sig. strikes/min
4.3
Strike accuracy
54%
Opponent quality
54/100

Recent form

WWWLW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Nathan Gonzales

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Super flyweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    66%
    Decision rate
    27%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.2
    Strike accuracy
    47%
    Opponent quality
    65/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Nathan Gonzales

      Confidence

      59%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingTony Curtis +19
      Inside workTony Curtis +12
      Ring generalshipTony Curtis +19
      CardioTony Curtis +12
      ExperienceNathan Gonzales +10
      Fight IQNathan Gonzales +14

      Why Raina made this pick

      Nathan Gonzales is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Tony Curtis's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Tony Curtis

      +205

      Market implied win %
      32.8%
      Raina's model win %
      41%
      Return on 100 staked
      +205

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Nathan Gonzales

      -223

      Market implied win %
      69%
      Raina's model win %
      59%
      Return on 100 staked
      +45

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10 pts

      Edge on Nathan Gonzales

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      59%
      Market implied
      69%
      at -223
      Gap (model − market)
      -10 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Nathan Gonzales higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Gonzales by KO/TKO+30324.8%
      • Gonzales on points+24229.2%
      • Curtis by KO/TKO+43018.9%
      • Fight goes the distance-6940.8%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Tony Curtis vs Nathan Gonzales

      Main Card · Super flyweight

      Raina's pick

      Nathan Gonzales

      59%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -223

      69% implied · -10 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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