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← Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

Zayn Ahmed vs Liam Fitzmaurice

Prelims · Super bantamweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Zayn Ahmed

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Super bantamweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
62%
Decision rate
29%
Sig. strikes/min
5.9
Strike accuracy
49%
Opponent quality
74/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Liam Fitzmaurice

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Super bantamweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    59%
    Decision rate
    29%
    Sig. strikes/min
    4.4
    Strike accuracy
    53%
    Opponent quality
    56/100

    Recent form

    WWWLW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Liam Fitzmaurice

      Confidence

      65%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingZayn Ahmed +15
      Inside workZayn Ahmed +20
      Ring generalshipLiam Fitzmaurice +11
      CardioLiam Fitzmaurice +14
      ExperienceZayn Ahmed +18
      Fight IQZayn Ahmed +12

      Why Raina made this pick

      Liam Fitzmaurice is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Zayn Ahmed's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 65%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Zayn Ahmed

      +240

      Market implied win %
      29.4%
      Raina's model win %
      35%
      Return on 100 staked
      +240

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Liam Fitzmaurice

      -265

      Market implied win %
      72.6%
      Raina's model win %
      65%
      Return on 100 staked
      +38

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -7.6 pts

      Edge on Liam Fitzmaurice

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      65%
      Market implied
      72.6%
      at -265
      Gap (model − market)
      -7.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Liam Fitzmaurice higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Fitzmaurice by KO/TKO+24828.7%
      • Fitzmaurice on points+26427.5%
      • Ahmed by KO/TKO+55415.3%
      • Fight goes the distance+18635%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Moses Itauma vs. Filip Hrgović (Natural Born Thriller)

      Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Zayn Ahmed vs Liam Fitzmaurice

      Prelims · Super bantamweight

      Raina's pick

      Liam Fitzmaurice

      65%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -265

      72.6% implied · -7.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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