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Jai Opetaia vs Noel Mikaelian

Co-Main · Cruiserweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Jai Opetaia

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Cruiserweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
67%
Decision rate
28%
Sig. strikes/min
4.2
Strike accuracy
53%
Opponent quality
66/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Noel Mikaelian

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Cruiserweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    57%
    Decision rate
    33%
    Sig. strikes/min
    6
    Strike accuracy
    45%
    Opponent quality
    87/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Jai Opetaia

      Confidence

      62%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingJai Opetaia +10
      Inside workJai Opetaia +17
      Ring generalshipNoel Mikaelian +16
      CardioNoel Mikaelian +11
      ExperienceJai Opetaia +13
      Fight IQNoel Mikaelian +23

      Why Raina made this pick

      Jai Opetaia is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 12 rounds.

      Noel Mikaelian's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 62%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 2.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Jai Opetaia

      -244

      Market implied win %
      70.9%
      Raina's model win %
      62%
      Return on 100 staked
      +41

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Noel Mikaelian

      +222

      Market implied win %
      31.1%
      Raina's model win %
      38%
      Return on 100 staked
      +222

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.9 pts

      Edge on Jai Opetaia

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      62%
      Market implied
      70.9%
      at -244
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.9 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Jai Opetaia higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Opetaia by KO/TKO+29025.6%
      • Opetaia on points+24429.1%
      • Mikaelian by KO/TKO+24129.3%
      • Fight goes the distance+8055.6%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn

      Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Jai Opetaia vs Noel Mikaelian

      Co-Main · Cruiserweight

      Raina's pick

      Jai Opetaia

      62%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -244

      70.9% implied · -8.9 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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