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Mark Magsayo vs Andres Cortes

Main Card · Lightweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Mark Magsayo

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
68%
Decision rate
25%
Sig. strikes/min
4.6
Strike accuracy
52%
Opponent quality
60/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Andres Cortes

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    61%
    Decision rate
    25%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.5
    Strike accuracy
    49%
    Opponent quality
    88/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Andres Cortes

      Confidence

      57%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingMark Magsayo +15
      Inside workAndres Cortes +14
      Ring generalshipMark Magsayo +17
      CardioMark Magsayo +20
      ExperienceMark Magsayo +18
      Fight IQMark Magsayo +12

      Why Raina made this pick

      Andres Cortes is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Mark Magsayo's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 57%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Mark Magsayo

      +193

      Market implied win %
      34.1%
      Raina's model win %
      43%
      Return on 100 staked
      +193

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Andres Cortes

      -209

      Market implied win %
      67.6%
      Raina's model win %
      57%
      Return on 100 staked
      +48

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10.6 pts

      Edge on Andres Cortes

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      57%
      Market implied
      67.6%
      at -209
      Gap (model − market)
      -10.6 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Andres Cortes higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Cortes by KO/TKO+31524.1%
      • Cortes on points+20133.2%
      • Magsayo by KO/TKO+24828.7%
      • Fight goes the distance+9252.1%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn

      Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Mark Magsayo vs Andres Cortes

      Main Card · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Andres Cortes

      57%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (10 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -209

      67.6% implied · -10.6 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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