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← Tim Tszyu vs. Erislandy Lara

Elnur Samedov vs Liam Wilson

Main Card · Super featherweight · Boxing

Red cornerUnlisted

Elnur Samedov

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Super featherweight
Streak
2-fight win streak
KO rate
49%
Decision rate
46%
Sig. strikes/min
6
Strike accuracy
46%
Opponent quality
88/100

Recent form

WWLWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnlisted

    Liam Wilson

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Super featherweight
    Streak
    2-fight win streak
    KO rate
    66%
    Decision rate
    30%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.3
    Strike accuracy
    47%
    Opponent quality
    87/100

    Recent form

    WWLWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Elnur Samedov

      Confidence

      56%

      Predicted method

      TKO / KO

      Predicted round

      Round 3

      Upset potential

      High

      Risk level

      High

      Advantage model

      StrikingElnur Samedov +16
      Inside workLiam Wilson +21
      Ring generalshipElnur Samedov +10
      CardioLiam Wilson +17
      ExperienceLiam Wilson +11
      Fight IQElnur Samedov +11

      Why Raina made this pick

      Elnur Samedov is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 10 rounds.

      Liam Wilson's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 56%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Elnur Samedov

      -202

      Market implied win %
      66.9%
      Raina's model win %
      56%
      Return on 100 staked
      +50

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Liam Wilson

      +187

      Market implied win %
      34.8%
      Raina's model win %
      44%
      Return on 100 staked
      +187

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -10.9 pts

      Edge on Elnur Samedov

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      56%
      Market implied
      66.9%
      at -202
      Gap (model − market)
      -10.9 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Elnur Samedov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Samedov by KO/TKO+16537.7%
      • Samedov on points+21032.3%
      • Wilson by KO/TKO+48317.2%
      • Fight goes the distance-9247.9%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      Boxing · Tim Tszyu vs. Erislandy Lara

      Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Elnur Samedov vs Liam Wilson

      Main Card · Super featherweight

      Raina's pick

      Elnur Samedov

      56%

      Method / round

      TKO / KO

      Round 3

      Line & edge

      -202

      66.9% implied · -10.9 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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