Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed
Prelims · Women's Strawweight · UFC
Shanelle Dyer
7-1-0
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 165 cm
- Reach
- 168 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Strawweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 50%
- Sub rate
- 9%
- Decision rate
- 41%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 0.7
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 1:08 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 55/100
Recent form
Elise Reed
8-5-0
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 165 cm
- Reach
- 168 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Women's Strawweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 68%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 18%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6
- Strike accuracy
- 52%
- Takedown avg
- 1
- Takedown defense
- 77%
- Control time
- 3:07 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Shanelle Dyer
Confidence
64%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 3
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Shanelle Dyer is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Elise Reed's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 64%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Shanelle Dyer
-258
- Market implied win %
- 72.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 64%
- Return on 100 staked
- +39
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Elise Reed
+234
- Market implied win %
- 29.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 36%
- Return on 100 staked
- +234
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.1 pts
Edge on Shanelle Dyer
- Raina's model
- 64%
- Market implied
- 72.1%
- at -258
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Shanelle Dyer higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Dyer by KO/TKO+26527.4%
- Dyer by decision+11746.1%
- Reed by submission+36621.5%
- Fight goes the distance+10050%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed
Prelims · Women's Strawweight
Raina's pick
Shanelle Dyer
64%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 3
Line & edge
-258
72.1% implied · -8.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.