Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Jamall Emmers
“Pretty Boy”
22-8-0
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 175 cm
- Reach
- 180 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 39%
- Sub rate
- 28%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.5
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 3
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 2:46 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Lerryan Douglas
14-5-0
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 173 cm
- Reach
- 178 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 53%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Strike accuracy
- 54%
- Takedown avg
- 1.1
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 1:09 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 73/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Jamall Emmers
Confidence
64%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Jamall Emmers is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Lerryan Douglas's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 64%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jamall Emmers
-258
- Market implied win %
- 72.1%
- Raina's model win %
- 64%
- Return on 100 staked
- +39
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Lerryan Douglas
+234
- Market implied win %
- 29.9%
- Raina's model win %
- 36%
- Return on 100 staked
- +234
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-8.1 pts
Edge on Jamall Emmers
- Raina's model
- 64%
- Market implied
- 72.1%
- at -258
- Gap (model − market)
- -8.1 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Jamall Emmers higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Emmers by KO/TKO+22730.6%
- Emmers by decision+15040%
- Douglas by submission+46517.7%
- Fight goes the distance+7058.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Jamall Emmers
64%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-258
72.1% implied · -8.1 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.