Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson
Main Card · Featherweight · UFC
Jack Jenkins
“Tank”
14-4-0
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 170 cm
- Reach
- 175 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 28%
- Sub rate
- 22%
- Decision rate
- 50%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.5
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 1.9
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 6:50 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 70/100
Recent form
Sean Woodson
“The Sniper”
13-2-1
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 190 cm
- Reach
- 196 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 54%
- Sub rate
- 9%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.9
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 0.6
- Takedown defense
- 74%
- Control time
- 0:37 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 57/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sean Woodson
Confidence
73%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 1
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sean Woodson is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Jack Jenkins's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 73%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 1.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Jack Jenkins
+288
- Market implied win %
- 25.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 27%
- Return on 100 staked
- +288
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Sean Woodson
-321
- Market implied win %
- 76.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 73%
- Return on 100 staked
- +31
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-3.2 pts
Edge on Sean Woodson
- Raina's model
- 73%
- Market implied
- 76.2%
- at -321
- Gap (model − market)
- -3.2 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sean Woodson higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Woodson by KO/TKO+24928.7%
- Woodson by decision+13442.7%
- Jenkins by submission+46917.6%
- Fight goes the distance+4270.4%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC
Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson
Main Card · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Sean Woodson
73%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 1
Line & edge
-321
76.2% implied · -3.2 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.