Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico
Prelims · Middleweight · UFC
Donte Johnson
8-0-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 188 cm
- Reach
- 193 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 20%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 56%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.2
- Takedown avg
- 4.3
- Takedown defense
- 86%
- Control time
- 1:22 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 54/100
Recent form
Eric McConico
11-4-1
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 190 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- Rebounding from a loss
- KO rate
- 49%
- Sub rate
- 13%
- Decision rate
- 38%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.6
- Takedown avg
- 0.5
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 0:23 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 63/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Donte Johnson
Confidence
70%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Donte Johnson is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Eric McConico's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 70%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Donte Johnson
-300
- Market implied win %
- 75%
- Raina's model win %
- 70%
- Return on 100 staked
- +33
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Eric McConico
+270
- Market implied win %
- 27%
- Raina's model win %
- 30%
- Return on 100 staked
- +270
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-5 pts
Edge on Donte Johnson
- Raina's model
- 70%
- Market implied
- 75%
- at -300
- Gap (model − market)
- -5 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Donte Johnson higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- Johnson by KO/TKO+30524.7%
- Johnson by decision+16537.7%
- McConico by submission+43818.6%
- Fight goes the distance+5265.8%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico
Prelims · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Donte Johnson
70%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-300
75% implied · -5 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.