Andre Lima vs Namsrai Batbayar
Prelims · Flyweight · UFC
Andre Lima
“Miojo”
11-1-0
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 168 cm
- Reach
- 173 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 19%
- Sub rate
- 48%
- Decision rate
- 33%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.2
- Strike accuracy
- 40%
- Takedown avg
- 3.4
- Takedown defense
- 78%
- Control time
- 6:09 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 76/100
Recent form
Namsrai Batbayar
10-1-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 165 cm
- Reach
- 168 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 21%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 55%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.3
- Strike accuracy
- 50%
- Takedown avg
- 4.3
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 4:07 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 67/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Namsrai Batbayar
Confidence
67%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Namsrai Batbayar is the more complete wrestler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Andre Lima's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 67%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Andre Lima
+252
- Market implied win %
- 28.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 33%
- Return on 100 staked
- +252
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Namsrai Batbayar
-279
- Market implied win %
- 73.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 67%
- Return on 100 staked
- +36
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.6 pts
Edge on Namsrai Batbayar
- Raina's model
- 67%
- Market implied
- 73.6%
- at -279
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Namsrai Batbayar higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Batbayar by KO/TKO+15639.1%
- Batbayar by decision+24628.9%
- Lima by submission+51516.3%
- Fight goes the distance+6660.2%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC
Andre Lima vs Namsrai Batbayar
Prelims · Flyweight
Raina's pick
Namsrai Batbayar
67%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-279
73.6% implied · -6.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.