Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore
Prelims · Middleweight · UFC
Vicente Luque
“The Silent Assassin”
24-12-1
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 49%
- Sub rate
- 14%
- Decision rate
- 37%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 5.3
- Takedown avg
- 0.8
- Takedown defense
- 75%
- Control time
- 3:27 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 87/100
Recent form
Tresean Gore
“Mr. Vandal”
6-4-0
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 185 cm
- Reach
- 190 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Middleweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 30%
- Sub rate
- 19%
- Decision rate
- 51%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Takedown avg
- 2.7
- Takedown defense
- 72%
- Control time
- 6:43 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 59/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Tresean Gore
Confidence
59%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Tresean Gore is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Vicente Luque's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 59%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Vicente Luque
+205
- Market implied win %
- 32.8%
- Raina's model win %
- 41%
- Return on 100 staked
- +205
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Tresean Gore
-223
- Market implied win %
- 69%
- Raina's model win %
- 59%
- Return on 100 staked
- +45
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-10 pts
Edge on Tresean Gore
- Raina's model
- 59%
- Market implied
- 69%
- at -223
- Gap (model − market)
- -10 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Tresean Gore higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
Rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Gore by KO/TKO+27027%
- Gore by decision+12344.8%
- Luque by submission+37820.9%
- Fight goes the distance+5664.1%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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UFC · UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore
Prelims · Middleweight
Raina's pick
Tresean Gore
59%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-223
69% implied · -10 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.