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UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj

Prelims · Welterweight · UFC

Red cornerUnited States

Neil Magny

The Haitian Sensation

31-14-0

Age
39
Height
191 cm
Reach
203 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Welterweight
Streak
3-fight win streak
KO rate
37%
Sub rate
28%
Decision rate
35%
Sig. strikes/min
3.7
Takedown avg
2
Takedown defense
71%
Control time
5:52 / fight
Opponent quality
63/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnited States

    Ramiz Brahimaj

    The Bosnian Bulldog

    13-6-0

    Age
    33
    Height
    183 cm
    Reach
    188 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Welterweight
    Streak
    3-fight win streak
    KO rate
    17%
    Sub rate
    49%
    Decision rate
    34%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.2
    Takedown avg
    2.7
    Takedown defense
    63%
    Control time
    5:05 / fight
    Opponent quality
    87/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Neil Magny

      Confidence

      72%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Low

      Risk level

      Low

      Advantage model

      StrikingNeil Magny +6
      GrapplingRamiz Brahimaj +29
      WrestlingRamiz Brahimaj +20
      CardioNeil Magny +13
      ExperienceNeil Magny +15
      Fight IQNeil Magny +15

      Why Raina made this pick

      Neil Magny is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Ramiz Brahimaj's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 72%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that reaches the judges.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Neil Magny

      -314

      Market implied win %
      75.8%
      Raina's model win %
      72%
      Return on 100 staked
      +32

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Ramiz Brahimaj

      +282

      Market implied win %
      26.2%
      Raina's model win %
      28%
      Return on 100 staked
      +282

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      In line with market

      -3.8 pts

      Edge on Neil Magny

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      72%
      Market implied
      75.8%
      at -314
      Gap (model − market)
      -3.8 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Neil Magny higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      Rounds total

      Over/Under 1.5 rounds

      Over

      -125

      55.6% implied

      Under

      +105

      48.8% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Magny by KO/TKO+30524.7%
      • Magny by decision+16437.9%
      • Brahimaj by submission+36221.6%
      • Fight goes the distance-10350.7%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

      Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC

      Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj

      Prelims · Welterweight

      Raina's pick

      Neil Magny

      72%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -314

      75.8% implied · -3.8 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

      Hand verified

      Last verified . Matchups and records checked by the desk against the promotion's official card.