Asaël Adjoudj vs Movlid Khaybulaev
Prelims · Featherweight · PFL
Asaël Adjoudj
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 33%
- Sub rate
- 18%
- Decision rate
- 49%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 3
- Takedown defense
- 79%
- Control time
- 7:24 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 60/100
Recent form
Movlid Khaybulaev
“Killer”
Record unlisted
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 168 cm
- Reach
- 178 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 2-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 26%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 49%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 2.8
- Takedown defense
- 70%
- Control time
- 5:25 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 69/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Movlid Khaybulaev
Confidence
53%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
High
Risk level
High
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Movlid Khaybulaev is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Asaël Adjoudj's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 53%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Asaël Adjoudj
+169
- Market implied win %
- 37.2%
- Raina's model win %
- 47%
- Return on 100 staked
- +169
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Movlid Khaybulaev
-181
- Market implied win %
- 64.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 53%
- Return on 100 staked
- +55
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-11.4 pts
Edge on Movlid Khaybulaev
- Raina's model
- 53%
- Market implied
- 64.4%
- at -181
- Gap (model − market)
- -11.4 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Movlid Khaybulaev higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Khaybulaev by KO/TKO+26427.5%
- Khaybulaev by decision+21731.5%
- Adjoudj by submission+31224.3%
- Fight goes the distance+14341.2%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Asaël Adjoudj vs Movlid Khaybulaev
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Movlid Khaybulaev
53%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-181
64.4% implied · -11.4 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.