Khabib Nabiev vs Styve Ngono Essono
Prelims · Light Heavyweight · PFL
Khabib Nabiev
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 27%
- Sub rate
- 25%
- Decision rate
- 48%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.7
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 1.5
- Takedown defense
- 82%
- Control time
- 6:11 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 63/100
Recent form
Styve Ngono Essono
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 39%
- Sub rate
- 19%
- Decision rate
- 42%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.8
- Strike accuracy
- 51%
- Takedown avg
- 1.5
- Takedown defense
- 76%
- Control time
- 0:12 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 57/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Styve Ngono Essono
Confidence
67%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Moderate
Risk level
Medium
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Styve Ngono Essono is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Khabib Nabiev's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 67%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Khabib Nabiev
+252
- Market implied win %
- 28.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 33%
- Return on 100 staked
- +252
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Styve Ngono Essono
-279
- Market implied win %
- 73.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 67%
- Return on 100 staked
- +36
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Model below market
-6.6 pts
Edge on Styve Ngono Essono
- Raina's model
- 67%
- Market implied
- 73.6%
- at -279
- Gap (model − market)
- -6.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Styve Ngono Essono higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Essono by KO/TKO+21032.3%
- Essono by decision+24828.7%
- Nabiev by submission+38220.7%
- Fight goes the distance-87.4%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
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Khabib Nabiev vs Styve Ngono Essono
Prelims · Light Heavyweight
Raina's pick
Styve Ngono Essono
67%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-279
73.6% implied · -6.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.